Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 42.638516 49.140366 55.918360 63.479798 71.648596 80.178180 89.728432
2024-10-27 31.523553 40.387139 50.200252 61.736061 74.796803 89.006626 105.518137
2024-11-03 27.303145 37.721439 49.744438 64.368655 81.414964 100.419869 122.977541
2024-11-10 23.738491 35.166303 48.856341 66.005843 86.486184 109.775614 137.886357
2024-11-17 19.741872 31.509179 46.164896 65.072532 88.188685 114.970342 147.800979
2024-11-24 16.476489 28.353726 43.722663 64.109262 89.575009 119.574840 156.853484
2024-12-01 14.197976 26.225615 42.343673 64.254827 92.134515 125.441439 167.296844
2024-12-08 12.290054 24.374363 41.132795 64.448822 94.624935 131.135281 177.478110
2024-12-15 10.804242 22.954270 40.357534 65.088847 97.586237 137.345085 188.251190
2024-12-22 9.081199 20.943801 38.584995 64.256989 98.556555 141.026896 195.909852
2024-12-29 8.131408 20.053765 38.320779 65.394140 102.022678 147.782782 207.319936
2025-01-05 7.327443 19.304121 38.188203 66.658864 105.624338 154.699227 218.940312
2025-01-12 6.118543 17.689575 36.664249 65.927655 106.582709 158.319449 226.572584
2025-01-19 4.844224 15.731229 34.447790 64.080719 105.952003 159.854599 231.574158
2025-01-26 4.596644 15.762035 35.373314 66.783617 111.492237 169.331580 246.567539
2025-02-02 4.188259 15.395212 35.613801 68.457405 115.620935 176.997121 259.309277
2025-02-09 3.402341 14.059325 34.142784 67.502740 116.069026 179.845394 265.938555
2025-02-16 2.725754 12.811096 32.709564 66.517096 116.408231 182.506825 272.302896
2025-02-23 2.287810 12.042856 32.047885 66.666050 118.309868 187.209278 281.275688
2025-03-02 1.912443 11.341288 31.445537 66.864551 120.255488 191.959316 290.313788
2025-03-09 1.631075 10.829738 31.149889 67.519410 122.840271 197.560455 300.463104
2025-03-16 1.254618 9.887245 29.954021 66.668261 123.206976 200.163093 306.716245
2025-03-23 1.090426 9.599074 30.005517 67.831759 126.504602 206.722789 318.136685